EP 188: The Wild West of Optical, Cisco's AI Hack, and Is Compute an Investable Asset

The Circuit · 17 Aug 2026 · 56m · Episode 181

What this episode covers

Hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg analyze the optical networking sector, contrasting Lumentum's success with Coherent's struggles in transitioning to 6-inch indium phosphate wafers, while debating the adoption timelines for Near-Packaged Optics (NPO) versus Co-Packaged Optics (CPO). They discuss Cisco's resurgence driven by its Silicon One chips and a strategic partnership with Anthropic to use the Mythos model for security audits, and examine Applied Materials' strong earnings backed by Long-Term Agreements (LTAs), attributing guidance hesitation to Intel's pending capital plans. Finally, the hosts critique NVIDIA's $500 billion data center financing initiative and Jensen Huang's claim that compute is a non-obsolescent asset class, arguing that rapid hardware obsolescence makes such an investment model risky.

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