# Predictions 2026!!

- Show: [Oxide and Friends](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends)
- Published: 2026-01-08
- Length: 1h 39m
- Episode: 1
- Page: https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026
- Listen: https://share.transistor.fm/s/256441f5

## Summary

Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal of Oxide Computer Company host a predictions episode with Simon Willison, Steve Klabnik, and Ian Grunert, reviewing past forecasts and speculating on the next 1, 3, and 6 years. The group discusses the rise of coding agents, the potential for an AI correction involving companies like Harvey.ai, and the shifting landscape of hardware, including predictions about Tesla exiting the consumer car market and Apple's next flagship. They also debate the future of software engineering, sandboxing, and the societal impact of LLMs, ranging from economic prosperity to psychosis.

## Chapters

- [0:00](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=0) Introduction and Review of Past Predictions
- [19:25](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=1165) One Year Predictions: Coding Agents and Sandbox Security
- [25:24](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=1524) One Year Predictions: AI Acquisitions and Vibe Coding
- [32:27](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=1947) One Year Predictions: Agent Orchestration and Synthetic Languages
- [41:27](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=2487) One Year Predictions: AI Bust, Harvey.ai, and IPOs
- [51:56](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=3116) Three Year Predictions: AGI, Jevons Paradox, and Custom Software
- [1:10:32](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=4232) Three Year Predictions: Waymo, Friend.com, and Windows Dominance
- [1:20:38](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=4838) Six Year Predictions: Software Engineering and Hardware Trends
- [1:27:36](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026#t=5256) Six Year Predictions: DSM, Tesla, and Nvidia

## Topics

- [AI & machine learning](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/ai-and-machine-learning)
- [Security & privacy](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/security-and-privacy)
- [Growth, exits & acquisitions](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/growth-exits-and-acquisitions)
- [Careers & education](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/engineering-careers-and-education)
- [Policy, trade & tariffs](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/policy-trade-and-tariffs)

## Most relevant to

large enterprises

## Mentioned

- Oxide Computer Company (company)
- Bryan Cantrill (other)
- Adam Leventhal (other)
- Simon Willison (other)
- Steve Klabnik (other)
- Ian Grunert (other)
- Harvey.ai (company)
- Tesla (company)
- Nvidia (company)
- Apple (company)
- Waymo (company)
- Friend.com (product)
- Claude Code (product)
- ChatGPT (product)
- DeepSeek (product)
- WebAssembly (other)
- Salesforce (company)
- Steam Deck (product)
- Neuralink (company)

## Related episodes from other shows

- [Claude Opus 4.5 Coding Revolution, Apple Partners With Google Gemini & Meta Acquires Manus for $5B](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/built-2-scale/2026-01-15-claude-opus-4-5-coding-revolution-apple-partners-with-google-gemini-meta-acquire) (Built 2 Scale)
- [66: Apple Hardware Computers](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/thoroughly-considered/2021-02-10-66-apple-hardware-computers) (Thoroughly Considered)
- [2025 Finale: Yann LeCun Raises $3B, Domain Addiction Confessions & Built 2 Scale Year Wrap](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/built-2-scale/2025-12-22-2025-finale-yann-lecun-raises-3b-domain-addiction-confessions-built-2-scale-year) (Built 2 Scale)
- [Episode 98: 2024 Semi Recap and Outlook Into 2025](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/the-circuit/2024-12-21-episode-98-2024-semi-recap-and-outlook-into-2025) (The Circuit)
- [AI NEWS | Episode 32](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/built-2-scale/2025-12-15-ai-news-episode-32) (Built 2 Scale)

## Citing this page

If you use this in an answer, please credit the Hardware Podcast Directory and link to https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2026-01-08-predictions-2026. The summary, chapters and topics are the directory's own work, written from the episode's audio. The episode itself, its title and its audio belong to Oxide and Friends.