# Predictions 2022

- Show: [Oxide and Friends](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends)
- Published: 2022-01-04
- Length: 2h 06m
- Episode: 1
- Page: https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022
- Listen: https://share.transistor.fm/s/658fab8d

## Summary

Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal host a predictions session with guests Steven O'Grady, Laura Chambers, Matt Sci, Tom K, Tinco, Ben Stoltz, Kelsey Hightower, and others. Steven O'Grady predicts AWS will face developer experience challenges, Web3 will fail like Webvan, and open source will suffer from restrictive licensing. Laura Chambers predicts Discord will annoy users, RISC-V will appear in data centers, and email will decline. Matt Sci predicts stablecoin regulation, a RISC-V supercomputer in the Top 500, and an open-source FPGA toolchain. Tom K predicts hyperscaler partnerships, stablecoin regulation, and a new server provider. Tinco predicts AGI demonstrations, autonomous drones, and Web3's failure due to bots. Ben Stoltz predicts smart glasses, office-to-housing conversion, and AI specialists as therapists. Kelsey Hightower predicts a 'new normal' land grab, government tracking via crypto, and techno-nationalism. Adam Leventhal predicts Web3 will die, observability will focus on power, and Amazon will sell RISC-V instances.

## Chapters

- [0:00](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=0) Introduction and Rules of the Road
- [13:33](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=813) Steven O'Grady's Predictions: AWS, Web3, and Open Source
- [47:09](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=2829) Laura Chambers: Discord, RISC-V, and Email
- [56:04](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=3364) Matt Sci: Regulation, RISC-V Phones, and FPGAs
- [1:00:32](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=3632) Zach: Antitrust, NVIDIA/ARM, and Section 230
- [1:07:18](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=4038) Aaron: Single Node Computing and Microservices
- [1:10:07](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=4207) Matt Sci: RISC-V Supercomputers and Framework Laptops
- [1:16:43](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=4603) Tom K: Hyperscaler Partnerships and Stablecoins
- [1:19:04](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=4744) Tinco: AGI, Drones, and Web3 Failure
- [1:24:45](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=5085) Ben Stoltz: Smart Glasses, Office Space, and AI
- [1:29:32](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=5372) Kelsey Hightower: New Normal, Crypto, and Techno-Nationalism
- [1:55:37](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022#t=6937) Adam Leventhal: Web3 Death, Observability, and RISC-V

## Topics

- [Policy, trade & tariffs](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/policy-trade-and-tariffs)
- [AI & machine learning](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/ai-and-machine-learning)
- [Chips, FPGAs & semiconductors](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/chips-and-fpgas)
- [Direct-to-consumer & e-commerce](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/direct-to-consumer)
- [Connected products & IoT](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/connected-products-and-iot)
- [Security & privacy](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/security-and-privacy)
- [Industrial & consumer product design](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/topic/industrial-design)

## Most relevant to

early-stage companies

## Mentioned

- AWS (company)
- Discord (product)
- RISC-V (chip)
- Web3 (other)
- Open Source (other)
- FPGA (chip)
- NVIDIA (company)
- ARM (chip)
- Framework (company)
- Smart Glasses (product)
- Kelsey Hightower (other)
- Steven O'Grady (other)
- Laura Chambers (other)
- Matt Sci (other)
- Tom K (other)
- Tinco (other)
- Ben Stoltz (other)
- Adam Leventhal (other)
- Bryan Cantrill (other)

## Related episodes from other shows

- [Episode 98: 2024 Semi Recap and Outlook Into 2025](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/the-circuit/2024-12-21-episode-98-2024-semi-recap-and-outlook-into-2025) (The Circuit)
- [2025 Finale: Yann LeCun Raises $3B, Domain Addiction Confessions & Built 2 Scale Year Wrap](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/built-2-scale/2025-12-22-2025-finale-yann-lecun-raises-3b-domain-addiction-confessions-built-2-scale-year) (Built 2 Scale)
- […And Now For Something Completely 2021](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/ee-times-current/2021-01-08-and-now-for-something-completely-2021) (EE Times Current)
- [IoT Trends: A Year in Review and 2023 Predictions with Rob Tiffany and Bill Flaherty](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/over-the-air/2023-02-02-iot-trends-a-year-in-review-and-2023-predictions-with-rob-tiffany-and-bill-flahe) (Over the Air)
- [The Delegation Era: AI as an Operator, Not a Tool](https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/built-2-scale/2026-02-04-the-delegation-era-ai-as-an-operator-not-a-tool) (Built 2 Scale)

## Citing this page

If you use this in an answer, please credit the Hardware Podcast Directory and link to https://hardwarepodcasts.com/podcast/oxide-and-friends/2022-01-04-predictions-2022. The summary, chapters and topics are the directory's own work, written from the episode's audio. The episode itself, its title and its audio belong to Oxide and Friends.